President Goodluck Jonathan |
By Chuks Okocha
The political
permutation towards the 2015 presidential election may see the Peoples
Democratic Party (PDP) governors that are perceived as anti President Goodluck
Jonathan negotiating for the Presidency
of the yet- to-be registered All Progressives Congress (APC).
This is with the understanding that the Presidency of the
country would go to the North by 2015.
According to a northern governor who is part of the
negotiating team with his colleagues in the APC, the PDP governors wishing to
dump the PDP because “the political space to accommodate a northern
presidential candidate is closed, as President Jonathan would emerge the
presidential candidate of the PDP.”
He added: “We believe that the only thing to assuage our
feeling for a northern Presidency is to ensure that we are part of the
discussion to present a consensus presidential candidate, not necessarily a
governor.”
This position to negotiate the presidency could stand
against the PDP governors moving to form their own political party as a third
force platform in the 2015 presidential election. According to the source,
“this is one of the positions to be agreed in our negotiations with the APC”.
THISDAY gathered that the PDP governors that consider
themselves as a ‘third force’ believe that their number surpass their counterparts
in the Action Congress of Nigeria (ACN) that are six governors, the All Nigeria
Peoples Party (ANPP) that have three governors and the Congress for
Progressives Change (CPC) that have only a governor from Nasarawa and Imo
states that has Rochas Okorocha as a governor.
According to THISDAY sources, the presidential election
would be a straight fight between the North-west and the South-west as a team
for the APC and the PDP would be banking on the South-south and South-east,
while the two vulnerable zones that are indecisive and too close for call are
the North-east and the North central states.
A PDP governor that boosted of the South-west and northwest
having advantage of numerical strength told THISDAY that the Kano and Jigawa
states have much more voting population of the southeast and that the eight
local governments of Bayelsa State cannot be compared with the 44 local
governments of Kano State.
Already, the national leader of the CPC, General Muhammadu
Buhari has positioned himself as a presidential aspirant in the race with his
posters been displayed all over the country.
“Our plan is that if we present an acceptable northern
presidential candidate on the platform of the merged APC, then we can get the
mandatory 25 percent votes in South-east states, if not more because the zone
is tippled to present the vice presidential candidate for the APC”, the source
said.
According to the governor, “the two zones of northeast and
north central will play the deciding factor and as such is seen as the battle
ground”.
Accordingly, the source said that this is where the Peoples
Democratic Movement (PDM), the political machinery of late General Shehu Musa
Yar’Adua will play a vital role in the political calculation.
THISDAY gathered that PDM that has members in the PDP, ACN
and other political parties are quietly working in the background and have
found themselves occupying the third force slot.
According to the source, “Small they may appear but when you
have the former vice president Atiku Abubakar and Chief Tony Anenih in the same
team and the new management team which Prince Tonye Princewill attracting young
supporters by the hundreds, watch this space as the election could be dicey”.
The PDP members are
majority in the PDP but also
present in other parties.
THISDAY gathered that both the PDP and the APC are conscious
of the PDM challenge, because as the source put it, “They are a movement so can
move, consult, discuss and recruit widely whilst holding on to their party
cards. The only reason why it has been reactivated is because the members,
though inside the PDP, must feel isolated at least at the state level. This links
directly to the governors and here is where PDP under Jonathan and the new PDM
can find synergy. They both need weaker governors”.
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